Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.004240 0.004460 0.004687 0.004938 0.005208 0.005489 0.005807
2025-09-07 0.003810 0.004131 0.004475 0.004872 0.005320 0.005812 0.006395
2025-09-14 0.003529 0.003902 0.004313 0.004802 0.005372 0.006019 0.006816
2025-09-21 0.003359 0.003773 0.004240 0.004810 0.005491 0.006288 0.007303
2025-09-28 0.003130 0.003558 0.004049 0.004660 0.005405 0.006297 0.007463
2025-10-05 0.003012 0.003464 0.003990 0.004656 0.005487 0.006505 0.007871
2025-10-12 0.002951 0.003431 0.004000 0.004733 0.005667 0.006837 0.008449
2025-10-19 0.002841 0.003334 0.003925 0.004697 0.005697 0.006976 0.008778
2025-10-26 0.002748 0.003251 0.003861 0.004670 0.005735 0.007122 0.009120
2025-11-02 0.002659 0.003169 0.003796 0.004636 0.005759 0.007246 0.009434
2025-11-09 0.002626 0.003156 0.003815 0.004712 0.005930 0.007575 0.010054
2025-11-16 0.002556 0.003093 0.003767 0.004694 0.005971 0.007724 0.010420
2025-11-23 0.002483 0.003024 0.003709 0.004662 0.005993 0.007849 0.010760
2025-11-30 0.002402 0.002942 0.003632 0.004601 0.005971 0.007909 0.011005
2025-12-07 0.002325 0.002863 0.003555 0.004537 0.005940 0.007952 0.011222
2025-12-14 0.002280 0.002825 0.003531 0.004544 0.006010 0.008145 0.011688
2025-12-21 0.002184 0.002714 0.003406 0.004405 0.005861 0.008003 0.011600
2025-12-28 0.002142 0.002676 0.003379 0.004402 0.005912 0.008164 0.012019
2026-01-04 0.002128 0.002676 0.003403 0.004473 0.006074 0.008506 0.012763
2026-01-11 0.002079 0.002626 0.003356 0.004439 0.006077 0.008594 0.013077
2026-01-18 0.002036 0.002582 0.003316 0.004415 0.006092 0.008702 0.013431
2026-01-25 0.001992 0.002537 0.003273 0.004383 0.006094 0.008789 0.013750
2026-02-01 0.001983 0.002539 0.003298 0.004453 0.006256 0.009145 0.014588